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Political Violence & Civil Unrest Trends

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How exposed is your business to political violence risk?


2026 report

Allianz 2026 Political Violence & Civil Unrest Trends Report

What’s in this report from Allianz Commercial:

War has displaced civil unrest as the political violence exposure companies fear most, according to Allianz Commercial’s 2026 analysis of global political violence and civil unrest trends. The shift reflects a risk landscape that has grown considerably in scale and complexity: areas affected by armed conflict have expanded 89% in the past five years, an estimated 36,000 business assets now sit in conflict zones and a new conflict in the Middle East is already reshaping global trade routes, energy markets and insurance exposures.

Some key findings:

  • Business interruption and supply chain disruption are the top concerns among companies facing political violence exposure, cited by 72% of respondents each.
  • Civil unrest is no longer a risk confined to fragile states: Analysis shows that “mid-resilient” economies accounted for 70% of global strikes, riots and civil commotion events between 2020 and 2025, with countries like France, Germany and the US among those experiencing high protest frequencies.
  • “Gray zone” activities — sabotage, cyber-attacks and disinformation campaigns — are increasingly being deployed by state and non-state actors against critical infrastructure and high-profile businesses, blurring the line between peace and open conflict.
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